WHALEOPSARCHPAPERDECIDERACCUMEXIT LABKNOWLEDGEROADMAP
DECISION ENGINE
READ-ONLY · LIVE DATA

Decision Intelligence Fabric

Karpathy · forensics · journal · attention · alpha · wallets · paper · accumulation · entry/exit/trade labs · knowledge · research · roadmap · ops · architecture
v1.0.0 · WARN DEGRADED 1OK 16 coverage 100.0%decision effect NONE
One contract → frozen on each TDE verdict → same universal paper fill/exit → outcomes/labs → proof registry → next decision. Only approved proof/config can alter action.

Decision Engine · Selection Cockpit

WHICH candidates made each cohort — and why
Best candidates, not every candidate. Preserve the full wallet/token/signal/strategy universe; allocate only to current within-family champions and challengers. Selection path: data-recency → family/chain coverage → copy score → event → decision gate → M0–M3 paper outcome. Dormant S-tier remains wake-only; live copy still requires path-true proof plus Chris approval.IMPORTANT: “Data ≤24h/7d” is enrichment freshness (_ts), not exact last on-chain activity. A real buy is awakening evidence. · source: wallet_db.json + wallet_rankings.copy_universe · wallet ROI gaps are snapshots, not executable copy returns.
ALPHA WALLETS ↗PAPER BOOK ↗FORENSICS ↗EXIT LAB ↗EP-28 #306 ↗
Data ≤24h: 141 (21.7%)Data ≤7d: 242 (37.2%)Stale-watch: 211 (32.5%)Wake-only: 56 (8.6%)650SELECTED
Data ≤24h 141Data ≤7d 242Stale-watch 211Wake-only 56
Selected650
Data ≤24h141
Data ≤7d242
Stale-watch211
Wake-only56
Fast-profit coverage audit 7D 10x+: 0/0 selected · 0 tracked7D 30x+: 0/0 selected · 0 tracked30D 10x+: 1/1 selected · 0 tracked30D 30x+: 0/0 selected · 0 tracked
Wallet family · graded intersectionCandidatesSelectedData≤24hData≤7dWakeTop selected
WHALEMOVER1291267453FM:fomo 104 · 0x0004…c111 #1Sapphy-Carr90%BriccoliTokate500kWhale-group · 0xddbe…8241 #20xa999…6091 #3
INSIDER28287210side-of:side-of:0xa1ece5(1(582h early) · 0x6df8…f103 #4Earlyx1000Steroids1MconsisROI · 0xf29f…4d96 #8AntPositions(蚂蚁仓）☄️ · 0xa83b…8811 #12
SMART314101491side-of:0x6e0573(318h early) · 0x6e95…e4b8 #5SideWalletClusterAuto · 0x1ce2…cb22 #24side-of:Cowboy_BNB(1002h early) · 0x5ab0…efa9 #33
KOL1010280MIRRO🔶 BNB · 0xa7d4…2b9f #28kurtz · 0xf78b…947c #29casino · 0x7b3d…8d61 #143
GRINDER33120FM:runitbackghost · BtFRsp…krWu #190x0358…c7a2 #213side-of:0xc65612(23h early) · 0x70d9…6a55 #216
FRESHSTEALTH142420010x0964…70bf #3870x7694…1101 #3900xcc5f…4f54 #394
DISCOVERED29190000x2b7f…75e5 #4020xae98…4706 #4040xd874…dab0 #429
FOMO_COHORT33030Cowboy🔶BNB · 0x38e4…a897 #1540xc2c6…091c #1550xa068…4c96 #156
MONACO_PREDECESSOR710000xd77b…2b8a #594

Live decision engine — last 24h

trading_decision_engine.py verdicts, not wallet selection — this is what actually gates a trade
REJECT584
PAPER_PROBE258
WAIT6
Proof stage: 848 decisions logged all RESEARCH_ONLY — nothing has cleared canonical proof + your approval yet
🏆 TOP-PERFORMING STRATEGIES — best live + best new (paper). ⭐ live champion · 🆕 new graduate ≥ champion
ENTRY METHODS — top 7 by modeled net EV
1wallet_copy⭐ TOP PAPERnetEV +31—pk 158%
2wallet_buysizenetEV +10—pk 289%
3oggy_boostnetEV +3—pk 479%
4clu:fomonetEV +2—pk 292%
5wc:SPRAYERnetEV -4—pk 178%
6sa_accumnetEV -4—pk 446%
7clu:shadow_dowvillenetEV -5—pk 277%
no proof-gated paper candidates yet — monitor only
EXIT STRATEGY — ⭐ live champion (forward OOS) + counterfactual contenders
★SWING⭐ LIVEe +0.66——
•TIGHT5e +0.42——
•MIXe +0.36——
•TRAIL-haire +0.31——
🔁 Edge Lab grades exits continuously — current incumbent leads 0 segments; a new exit that beats it enters proof-required, never auto-deploys. Best challenger: S(arm5/tr15/sl-20) (+1.16).
⭐ LIVE = SWING S(arm25/tr30/sl-50), promoted 260727 · fwd = shadow-lane forward expectancy; contenders = exit_lab counterfactual per-trade

System-Wide Alpha Map

Every paper process rolled into 8 strategy families · ranked by modeled net EV after execution costs · 2026-08-12T22:31:45Z
Families
8
strategy cohorts
Paper trades
10,088
family scorecard sample
Net paper P&L
-$132,915
historical paper outcome
Best modeled family
🐋 WHALE_ALPHA
-1.5% · -$2/trade
Biggest modeled drag
🎯 SNIPER_TRENCH
-30.9% · -$33/trade
Trade Share by Family
Actual scorecard sample distribution
WHALE_ALPHA: 937 (9.3%)CONVERGENCE: 2,222 (22.0%)KOL: 858 (8.5%)SMART_INTEL: 1,231 (12.2%)ACCUMULATION: 296 (2.9%)BASELINE: 2,756 (27.3%)MOMENTUM: 1,564 (15.5%)SNIPER_TRENCH: 224 (2.2%)10,088PAPER TRADES
WHALE_ALPHA 937CONVERGENCE 2,222KOL 858SMART_INTEL 1,231ACCUMULATION 296BASELINE 2,756MOMENTUM 1,564SNIPER_TRENCH 224
Execution-Adjusted EV / Trade
Family comparison · modeled net of execution costs
🐋 WHALE_ALPHA
-$2
🔀 CONVERGENCE
-$11
📣 KOL
-$11
🧠 SMART_INTEL
-$12
📥 ACCUMULATION
-$13
⚖️ BASELINE
-$18
📈 MOMENTUM
-$21
🎯 SNIPER_TRENCH
-$33
Family Champions
Click any card → drill into constituent methods
🐋 WHALE_ALPHAn=937
-$2 /trade
-1.5% net EV · 16 methods · 2 gems · 4 drags
clu:sapphy+shadow_dowville: +51.19, wallet_copy: +30.67, clu:profitleader+sapphy: +3.27, clu:fomo: +2.26, wc:SWING: -2.04, clu:gitlawb+sapphy: -2.59, wc:SPRAYER: -3.75, clu:gitlawb+shadow_dowvill: -4.77, clu:shadow_dowville: -5.08, whalemover: -8.67, clu:dowville: -10.38, clu:sapphy: -11.46, clu:monaco_messiah: -14.72, clu:traderpow: -18.93, wc:shadow_dowville: -19.80, clu:gitlawb+traderpow: -21.16
🔀 CONVERGENCEn=2,222
-$11 /trade
-12.8% net EV · 5 methods · 0 gems · 3 drags
side_walker: +6.71, fomo: -10.32, cluster: -11.80, fomo_curated: -12.17, kien_conv: -22.20
📣 KOLn=858
-$11 /trade
-12.5% net EV · 14 methods · 1 gems · 2 drags
kol:powsgemcalls: +294.38, kol:millionsgems: +19.38, oggy_boost: +3.42, kol:mattfuriecalls1: -2.14, dexlions_kol: -4.96, kol:maestrosdegen: -5.95, alpha_brief: -12.42, oggy_kol: -12.80, kol:batman_gem: -13.24, kol:bruisersgambles: -21.61, kol:michacalls: -22.15, kol:gabbenscalls: -27.21, kol:shitcoinneverland: -58.57, kol:minegems: -67.93
🧠 SMART_INTELn=1,231
-$12 /trade
-13.5% net EV · 11 methods · 0 gems · 4 drags
wallet_buysize: +9.74, accum_sig_bundled: -3.63, cipher: -6.58, wallet_intel: -8.66, known_conv: -9.67, floor_revival: -13.52, known_dist: -14.50, inversion_alpha: -18.80, smartmoney: -20.76, dormant_wake: -35.49, sajad_second_leg: -60.11
📥 ACCUMULATIONn=296
-$13 /trade
-12.2% net EV · 2 methods · 0 gems · 2 drags
sa_accum: -3.87, accum_engine: -15.07
⚖️ BASELINEn=2,756
-$18 /trade
-15.5% net EV · 6 methods · 0 gems · 6 drags
D: -9.41, control: -12.00, B: -16.42, A: -16.80, C: -23.60, ?: -26.14
📈 MOMENTUMn=1,564
-$21 /trade
-21.6% net EV · 3 methods · 0 gems · 2 drags
volume_spike: -14.88, trending: -16.66, momentum_scalp: -22.53
🎯 SNIPER_TRENCHn=224
-$33 /trade
-30.9% net EV · 2 methods · 0 gems · 2 drags
sniper: -31.40, trench: -38.12
Family Drilldown
Return-profile sparklines: CI low → median → net EV → p95 peak
🐋 WHALE_ALPHA-1.5% net EV-$2/traden=937 · net -$810💎 2⚠️ 4▾
best exit (OOS cf): TIGHT5 · lifts this family +0.47 exp vs its actual · matches live SWING
MethodReturn profilenNet EVEV $CI lowPayoffWin%p95 peakMed retFlags
wallet_copyCI low %: -20.44, median return %: -3.92, net EV %: +29.05, p95 peak %: +157.8813+29.1%$31-20.4%3.7846%158%-4%💎 hidden-gem
wc:SPRAYERCI low %: -38.13, median return %: -16.84, net EV %: -3.36, p95 peak %: +177.7913-3.4%-$4-38.1%2.0631%178%-17%💎 hidden-gem⚠️ exit-drag
clu:sapphy+shadow_dowvilleCI low %: -17.34, median return %: -1.27, net EV %: +51.92, p95 peak %: +124.506+51.9%$51-17.3%81.4350%125%-1%
clu:profitleader+sapphyCI low %: +2.97, median return %: +4.37, net EV %: +2.97, p95 peak %: +87.081+3.0%$3+3.0%0.04100%87%4%
clu:fomoCI low %: -12.35, median return %: -8.37, net EV %: +2.92, p95 peak %: +291.64500+2.9%$2-12.3%2.5533%292%-8%
wc:SWINGCI low %: -19.47, median return %: +2.07, net EV %: -2.91, p95 peak %: +72.615-2.9%-$2-19.5%0.5460%73%2%
clu:gitlawb+sapphyCI low %: -2.36, median return %: -0.96, net EV %: -2.36, p95 peak %: -0.951-2.4%-$3-2.4%0.000%-1%-1%
clu:gitlawb+shadow_dowvillCI low %: -7.43, median return %: -4.65, net EV %: -4.61, p95 peak %: -0.992-4.6%-$5-7.4%0.000%-1%-5%
clu:shadow_dowvilleCI low %: -14.18, median return %: -2.22, net EV %: -4.32, p95 peak %: +276.7139-4.3%-$5-14.2%1.3436%277%-2%⚠️ exit-drag
whalemoverCI low %: -14.26, median return %: -9.95, net EV %: -8.19, p95 peak %: +172.73237-8.2%-$9-14.3%1.7727%173%-10%⚠️ exit-drag
clu:dowvilleCI low %: -16.63, median return %: -5.07, net EV %: -10.04, p95 peak %: +133.7851-10.0%-$10-16.6%0.8229%134%-5%
clu:sapphyCI low %: -21.12, median return %: -9.97, net EV %: -11.14, p95 peak %: +265.6749-11.1%-$11-21.1%1.8120%266%-10%⚠️ exit-drag
clu:monaco_messiahCI low %: -38.10, median return %: -14.51, net EV %: -14.72, p95 peak %: +19.283-14.7%-$15-38.1%0.3333%19%-15%
clu:traderpowCI low %: -31.21, median return %: -11.85, net EV %: -17.21, p95 peak %: -0.993-17.2%-$19-31.2%0.000%-1%-12%
wc:shadow_dowvilleCI low %: -35.92, median return %: -21.57, net EV %: -18.25, p95 peak %: +17.2912-18.3%-$20-35.9%2.698%17%-22%
clu:gitlawb+traderpowCI low %: -43.63, median return %: -28.62, net EV %: -21.16, p95 peak %: -0.992-21.2%-$21-43.6%0.000%-1%-29%
🔀 CONVERGENCE-12.8% net EV-$11/traden=2222 · net -$22,484⚠️ 3💀 2▾
best exit (OOS cf): TIGHT5 · lifts this family +0.71 exp vs its actual · matches live SWING
MethodReturn profilenNet EVEV $CI lowPayoffWin%p95 peakMed retFlags
side_walkerCI low %: -29.78, median return %: -11.84, net EV %: +4.00, p95 peak %: +28.862+4.0%$7-29.8%1.9150%29%-12%
fomoCI low %: -19.65, median return %: -32.58, net EV %: -9.35, p95 peak %: +345.86871-9.3%-$10-19.7%3.2919%346%-33%⚠️ exit-drag
clusterCI low %: -26.38, median return %: -30.55, net EV %: -15.20, p95 peak %: +473.50639-15.2%-$12-26.4%2.4221%474%-31%⚠️ exit-drag
fomo_curatedCI low %: -21.60, median return %: -25.22, net EV %: -14.84, p95 peak %: +296.75681-14.8%-$12-21.6%2.2320%297%-25%💀 dead⚠️ exit-drag
kien_convCI low %: -41.19, median return %: -30.95, net EV %: -20.30, p95 peak %: +125.2329-20.3%-$22-41.2%2.5414%125%-31%💀 dead
📣 KOL-12.5% net EV-$11/traden=858 · net -$8,657💎 1⚠️ 2💀 1▾
best exit (OOS cf): TIGHT5 · lifts this family +0.60 exp vs its actual · matches live SWING
MethodReturn profilenNet EVEV $CI lowPayoffWin%p95 peakMed retFlags
kol:powsgemcallsCI low %: +267.62, median return %: +269.02, net EV %: +267.62, p95 peak %: +479.011+267.6%$294+267.6%2.69100%479%269%💎 hidden-gem
kol:millionsgemsCI low %: +12.60, median return %: +16.80, net EV %: +18.32, p95 peak %: +169.792+18.3%$19+12.6%0.20100%170%17%
oggy_boostCI low %: -17.97, median return %: -11.35, net EV %: +6.05, p95 peak %: +478.6293+6.0%$3-18.0%2.0739%479%-11%
kol:mattfuriecalls1CI low %: -2.14, median return %: -0.34, net EV %: -2.14, p95 peak %: +16.391-2.1%-$2-2.1%0.000%16%-0%
dexlions_kolCI low %: -32.69, median return %: -18.80, net EV %: -8.00, p95 peak %: +27.752-8.0%-$5-32.7%0.3450%28%-19%💀 dead
kol:maestrosdegenCI low %: -82.07, median return %: -17.02, net EV %: -5.82, p95 peak %: +27.734-5.8%-$6-82.1%2.5725%28%-17%
alpha_briefCI low %: -23.25, median return %: -15.28, net EV %: -12.25, p95 peak %: +128.6066-12.2%-$12-23.2%1.2729%129%-15%
oggy_kolCI low %: -20.38, median return %: -22.35, net EV %: -14.70, p95 peak %: +247.85614-14.7%-$13-20.4%2.0620%248%-22%⚠️ exit-drag
kol:batman_gemCI low %: -49.20, median return %: +0.17, net EV %: -13.53, p95 peak %: +29.733-13.5%-$13-49.2%0.1267%30%0%
kol:bruisersgamblesCI low %: -29.51, median return %: -24.65, net EV %: -19.89, p95 peak %: +43.396-19.9%-$22-29.5%0.000%43%-25%
kol:michacallsCI low %: -33.55, median return %: -33.31, net EV %: -21.44, p95 peak %: +226.9060-21.4%-$22-33.5%1.1723%227%-33%⚠️ exit-drag
kol:gabbenscallsCI low %: -72.77, median return %: -12.87, net EV %: -25.65, p95 peak %: +56.343-25.7%-$27-72.8%0.2533%56%-13%
kol:shitcoinneverlandCI low %: -53.25, median return %: -51.85, net EV %: -53.25, p95 peak %: +3.501-53.2%-$59-53.2%0.000%4%-52%
kol:minegemsCI low %: -80.15, median return %: -69.74, net EV %: -61.76, p95 peak %: +2.502-61.8%-$68-80.2%0.000%2%-70%
🧠 SMART_INTEL-13.5% net EV-$12/traden=1231 · net -$13,306⚠️ 4💀 3▾
best exit (OOS cf): TIGHT5 · lifts this family +0.64 exp vs its actual · matches live SWING
MethodReturn profilenNet EVEV $CI lowPayoffWin%p95 peakMed retFlags
wallet_buysizeCI low %: -23.78, median return %: -11.34, net EV %: +6.44, p95 peak %: +288.57199+6.4%$10-23.8%3.3429%289%-11%
accum_sig_bundledCI low %: -3.30, median return %: -1.90, net EV %: -3.30, p95 peak %: +28.451-3.3%-$4-3.3%0.000%28%-2%
cipherCI low %: -18.22, median return %: -20.19, net EV %: -5.60, p95 peak %: +229.8591-5.6%-$7-18.2%1.7732%230%-20%💀 dead⚠️ exit-drag
wallet_intelCI low %: -16.62, median return %: -13.25, net EV %: -8.05, p95 peak %: +141.2460-8.1%-$9-16.6%1.6425%141%-13%
known_convCI low %: -18.99, median return %: -11.83, net EV %: -11.40, p95 peak %: +271.90209-11.4%-$10-19.0%1.7622%272%-12%⚠️ exit-drag
floor_revivalCI low %: -24.05, median return %: -16.58, net EV %: -12.86, p95 peak %: +200.9253-12.9%-$14-24.0%1.4026%201%-17%💀 dead⚠️ exit-drag
known_distCI low %: -23.81, median return %: -18.04, net EV %: -15.00, p95 peak %: +54.0722-15.0%-$14-23.8%1.319%54%-18%
inversion_alphaCI low %: -26.30, median return %: -15.21, net EV %: -16.67, p95 peak %: +106.0934-16.7%-$19-26.3%0.8524%106%-15%
smartmoneyCI low %: -28.04, median return %: -33.30, net EV %: -22.76, p95 peak %: +282.06556-22.8%-$21-28.0%1.7818%282%-33%⚠️ exit-drag
dormant_wakeCI low %: -47.18, median return %: -35.89, net EV %: -33.12, p95 peak %: +2.444-33.1%-$35-47.2%0.000%2%-36%💀 dead
sajad_second_legCI low %: -55.98, median return %: -53.93, net EV %: -54.65, p95 peak %: -0.382-54.6%-$60-56.0%0.000%-0%-54%
📥 ACCUMULATION-12.2% net EV-$13/traden=296 · net -$3,468⚠️ 2▾
best exit (OOS cf): TIGHT5 · lifts this family +0.56 exp vs its actual · matches live SWING
MethodReturn profilenNet EVEV $CI lowPayoffWin%p95 peakMed retFlags
sa_accumCI low %: -17.97, median return %: -1.78, net EV %: -3.98, p95 peak %: +445.9259-4.0%-$4-18.0%2.2727%446%-2%⚠️ exit-drag
accum_engineCI low %: -19.64, median return %: -16.11, net EV %: -14.19, p95 peak %: +151.87237-14.2%-$15-19.6%1.2325%152%-16%⚠️ exit-drag
⚖️ BASELINE-15.5% net EV-$18/traden=2756 · net -$45,753⚠️ 6▾
best exit (OOS cf): TIGHT5 · lifts this family +0.69 exp vs its actual · matches live SWING
MethodReturn profilenNet EVEV $CI lowPayoffWin%p95 peakMed retFlags
DCI low %: -38.20, median return %: -29.77, net EV %: -8.35, p95 peak %: +295.45147-8.3%-$9-38.2%3.4319%295%-30%⚠️ exit-drag
controlCI low %: -32.15, median return %: -27.03, net EV %: -10.89, p95 peak %: +420.43177-10.9%-$12-32.1%3.4118%420%-27%⚠️ exit-drag
BCI low %: -24.82, median return %: -34.08, net EV %: -15.79, p95 peak %: +294.40838-15.8%-$16-24.8%2.5518%294%-34%⚠️ exit-drag
ACI low %: -22.35, median return %: -36.01, net EV %: -15.65, p95 peak %: +340.83721-15.6%-$17-22.4%2.5618%341%-36%⚠️ exit-drag
CCI low %: -25.85, median return %: -34.64, net EV %: -17.16, p95 peak %: +294.40863-17.2%-$24-25.9%2.4218%294%-35%⚠️ exit-drag
?CI low %: -71.82, median return %: -58.36, net EV %: -26.14, p95 peak %: +343.1010-26.1%-$26-71.8%1.7520%343%-58%⚠️ exit-drag
📈 MOMENTUM-21.6% net EV-$21/traden=1564 · net -$31,275⚠️ 2💀 1▾
best exit (OOS cf): TIGHT5 · lifts this family +0.91 exp vs its actual · matches live SWING
MethodReturn profilenNet EVEV $CI lowPayoffWin%p95 peakMed retFlags
volume_spikeCI low %: -21.77, median return %: -9.87, net EV %: -13.98, p95 peak %: +148.9753-14.0%-$15-21.8%0.8228%149%-10%💀 dead
trendingCI low %: -18.99, median return %: -15.52, net EV %: -15.38, p95 peak %: +174.80299-15.4%-$17-19.0%1.1521%175%-16%⚠️ exit-drag
momentum_scalpCI low %: -29.40, median return %: -37.97, net EV %: -23.50, p95 peak %: +300.311212-23.5%-$23-29.4%2.5115%300%-38%⚠️ exit-drag
🎯 SNIPER_TRENCH-30.9% net EV-$33/traden=224 · net -$7,162⚠️ 2▾
best exit (OOS cf): TIGHT5 · lifts this family +0.54 exp vs its actual · matches live SWING
MethodReturn profilenNet EVEV $CI lowPayoffWin%p95 peakMed retFlags
sniperCI low %: -35.35, median return %: -32.47, net EV %: -29.17, p95 peak %: +260.43161-29.2%-$31-35.4%0.9216%260%-32%⚠️ exit-drag
trenchCI low %: -49.30, median return %: -51.01, net EV %: -35.34, p95 peak %: +164.1763-35.3%-$38-49.3%1.1016%164%-51%⚠️ exit-drag
No families match this filter.
Connected Decision Surfaces
Drill sideways without losing decision context
Alpha WalletsWallet universe, grades, clusters, returns and cohort rank.OPEN LEADERBOARD ↗
Paper BookPosition-level entries, exits, lanes and realized outcomes.OPEN PAPER ↗
ForensicsFailure attribution, evidence integrity and suspect-price quarantine.OPEN FORENSICS ↗
Exit LabCounterfactual exits and gated family override candidates.OPEN EXIT LAB ↗
ArchitectureSystem flow, upstream producers and downstream consumers.OPEN ARCH ↗
OperationsPipeline health, job freshness and operational status.OPEN OPS ↗
KnowledgeValidated alpha findings and evidence-backed operating doctrine.OPEN KNOWLEDGE ↗
RoadmapEdge Processes proposals, approval state and proof requirements.OPEN ROADMAP ↗