📥 Accumulation
Chris core thesis — learn the patterns/indicators of accumulation-then-pump. 1424 signals in last 7d · accum_engine v1.13.0 · generated 2026-08-12 22:31 UTC
🫀 Engine health & live rules
Status
🟢 OK
last run 3m ago · thread 92561
Live rules
alert ≥17 · cooldown 1h (re-fires if score +6) · coverage ≥40% · 24h window
cooldown 12h→1h + escalation (260726) — never mute strengthening accumulation
🏆 S/A-tier wallets accumulating
graded alpha wallets building over 24h · 🤝 ≥2 independent clusters · 🐋 one S-tier loading heavy · size-gated (≥1% mcap or 0.3 ETH)
| Token | S/A | Repeat | Graded $ | %mcap |
|---|
| 🤝 | $CZ bsc | 3S / 0A | 7 | $1,391 | – |
| 🤝 | $GATO robinhood | 1S / 1A | 12 | $5,485 | – |
| 🤝 | $utility bsc | 1S / 1A | 4 | $3,325 | – |
| 🤝 | $plumber base | 2S / 0A | 2 | $2,017 | – |
| 🤝 | $GMEB bsc | 1S / 1A | 4 | $1,374 | – |
| 🤝 | $sami base | 2S / 0A | 1 | $1,064 | – |
🔬 Which indicators predict wins
signature edge — win-rate vs 33% baseline over 392 outcome-tracked signals (#225 phase-1 internal harvest)
✅ real edge
| BUNDLED-RISK | 53% | +19pp · n36 |
| SQUEEZE | 50% | +17pp · n18 |
| FRESH-SWARM | 37% | +4pp · n285 |
| GMGN-CLUSTER | 37% | +4pp · n285 |
| STEALTH | 34% | +0pp · n345 |
| STEALTH-WAVE | 34% | +0pp · n385 |
❌ drag — down-weight
| SUPPLY-CONTROL | 17% | -16pp · n23 |
| HL | 26% | -8pp · n43 |
| CLUSTERED-SUPPLY | 26% | -8pp · n120 |
| FLOW-DIV | 27% | -7pp · n30 |
| ASSOC-SUPPLY | 32% | -2pp · n286 |
Method performance (paper)
Net EV $/trade
-15.1
CI low -19.6% · CONFIDENT
Payoff
1.23
win size ÷ loss size
p95 peak
152%
entry catches the pump
💡 Accumulation entries catch big peaks (p95 152%) with payoff 1.2 — the edge is real; capturing it now depends on the exit (SWING champion, promoted 260727).
Signature RANKING — real paper performance
Every accumulation signature, ranked by ACTUAL forward return on graded fires (not fire-frequency or setup-score — real money). This is the answer to “which signals actually work.”
| Signature | Independent N | Net EV | CI low | Win rate | Payoff | Grade |
|---|
| REPEAT×58 | 4 | +3.2% | -4.4% | 100% | 0.00 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×12 | 41 | +1.3% | -1.1% | 68% | 2.69 | LOW |
| REPEAT×56 | 5 | +0.9% | -3.0% | 80% | 0.00 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×55 | 4 | +0.3% | -4.9% | 75% | 0.00 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×10 | 24 | -0.8% | -2.5% | 50% | 2.22 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×61 | 8 | -1.0% | -3.3% | 88% | 2.31 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×41 | 3 | -1.8% | -5.8% | 67% | 0.53 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×37 | 10 | -1.8% | -4.5% | 30% | 1.48 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×62 | 6 | -2.2% | -6.8% | 33% | 7.28 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×59 | 4 | -2.6% | -10.4% | 50% | 1.29 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×7 | 21 | -2.7% | -3.2% | 5% | 0.62 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×35 | 3 | -2.8% | -3.4% | 0% | 0.00 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×45 | 36 | -3.1% | -4.7% | 31% | 0.62 | LOW |
| ABSORB | 14 | -3.2% | -5.2% | 29% | 1.11 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×6 | 5 | -3.3% | -4.9% | 0% | 0.00 | UNRELIABLE |
| SIDE-CLUSTER | 5 | -3.4% | -6.7% | 40% | 0.34 | UNRELIABLE |
| FLOW-DIV | 33 | -3.9% | -5.4% | 24% | 1.46 | LOW |
| STEALTH-WAVE | 420 | -4.0% | -4.6% | 34% | 1.05 | CONFIDENT |
| GMGN-CLUSTER | 319 | -4.0% | -4.8% | 37% | 1.02 | CONFIDENT |
| FRESH-SWARM | 319 | -4.0% | -4.8% | 37% | 1.02 | CONFIDENT |
| REPEAT×107 | 4 | -4.0% | -4.7% | 0% | 0.00 | UNRELIABLE |
| BUNDLED-RISK | 42 | -4.0% | -5.8% | 40% | 0.48 | LOW |
| STEALTH | 380 | -4.3% | -5.0% | 34% | 0.98 | CONFIDENT |
| REPEAT×131 | 3 | -4.4% | -7.4% | 0% | 0.00 | UNRELIABLE |
| CLUSTERED-SUPPLY | 129 | -4.7% | -6.0% | 25% | 0.87 | CONFIDENT |
| HL | 48 | -5.0% | -6.3% | 25% | 0.99 | LOW |
| ASSOC-SUPPLY | 309 | -5.1% | -5.8% | 29% | 0.71 | CONFIDENT |
| REPEAT×9 | 3 | -5.3% | -6.7% | 0% | 0.00 | UNRELIABLE |
| SQUEEZE | 21 | -6.0% | -8.8% | 33% | 0.39 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×13 | 23 | -6.1% | -7.0% | 43% | 0.86 | UNRELIABLE |
| SUPPLY-CONTROL | 24 | -6.2% | -8.6% | 17% | 0.18 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×27 | 21 | -6.3% | -8.5% | 24% | 0.25 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×36 | 3 | -6.7% | -7.2% | 0% | 0.00 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×11 | 69 | -6.9% | -8.6% | 29% | 0.71 | LOW |
| REPEAT×19 | 3 | -7.7% | -13.1% | 0% | 0.00 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×54 | 25 | -7.7% | -10.0% | 16% | 0.38 | UNRELIABLE |
| VOL-ANOM | 8 | -7.9% | -16.9% | 12% | 0.41 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×25 | 25 | -8.3% | -10.5% | 12% | 0.41 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×20 | 3 | -10.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0.00 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×16 | 12 | -10.1% | -15.0% | 17% | 0.60 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×22 | 4 | -10.6% | -10.9% | 0% | 0.00 | UNRELIABLE |
| WM-BUY | 8 | -14.6% | -29.9% | 12% | 0.11 | UNRELIABLE |
| REPEAT×3 | 7 | -16.4% | -33.6% | 29% | 0.07 | UNRELIABLE |
Emerging (<3 graded fires, too thin to rank yet): REPEAT×17, REPEAT×134, REPEAT×60, REPEAT×24, REPEAT×133, REPEAT×23, REPEAT×132, REPEAT×130, REACCUM, REPEAT×44, REPEAT×14, REPEAT×124, REPEAT×39, REPEAT×50, REPEAT×31, REPEAT×106, REPEAT×26, REPEAT×136, REPEAT×135, REPEAT×21, REPEAT×57, REPEAT×18, REPEAT×129, REPEAT×127, NET-IN, REPEAT×43, REPEAT×126, REPEAT×51, REPEAT×125, HOLDER-SURGE, REPEAT×38, REPEAT×123, REPEAT×8, RANGE, REPEAT×108, REPEAT×34, REPEAT×104
Signature leaderboard — the accumulation indicators
Which accumulation indicators fire most in the last 7d, and the avg engine-score / conviction of the setups they appear in. Higher avg score = a signature that tags the strongest accumulation.
| Signature | Fires | Frequency | Avg score | Avg conviction |
|---|
| STEALTH-WAVE | 1388 | | 33 | 31% |
| STEALTH | 1295 | | 34 | 31% |
| GMGN-CLUSTER | 1183 | | 35 | 32% |
| FRESH-SWARM | 1183 | | 35 | 32% |
| ASSOC-SUPPLY | 1061 | | 34 | 31% |
| CLUSTERED-SUPPLY | 430 | | 32 | 30% |
| REPEAT×11 | 216 | | 36 | 32% |
| REPEAT×12 | 181 | | 34 | 32% |
| HL | 149 | | 39 | 32% |
| BUNDLED-RISK | 148 | | 40 | 35% |
| REPEAT×45 | 140 | | 32 | 30% |
| SUPPLY-CONTROL | 114 | | 33 | 30% |
| FLOW-DIV | 110 | | 43 | 33% |
| SQUEEZE | 97 | | 41 | 32% |
| REPEAT×54 | 91 | | 35 | 32% |
| REPEAT×25 | 86 | | 36 | 32% |
| REPEAT×27 | 84 | | 35 | 31% |
| REPEAT×7 | 71 | | 21 | 26% |
| REPEAT×10 | 60 | | 26 | 29% |
| REPEAT×13 | 55 | | 32 | 30% |
| ABSORB | 45 | | 45 | 33% |
| REPEAT×3 | 36 | | 25 | 29% |
| WM-BUY | 27 | | 28 | 34% |
| VOL-ANOM | 25 | | 45 | 35% |
| REPEAT×6 | 23 | | 22 | 27% |
| REPEAT×58 | 23 | | 33 | 32% |
| REPEAT×16 | 22 | | 32 | 32% |
| SIDE-CLUSTER | 22 | | 24 | 30% |
| REPEAT×9 | 19 | | 36 | 32% |
| REPEAT×61 | 18 | | 31 | 31% |
| REPEAT×19 | 16 | | 37 | 31% |
| REPEAT×37 | 14 | | 28 | 28% |
| REPEAT×53 | 13 | | 37 | 33% |
| REACCUM | 10 | | 30 | 32% |
| REPEAT×62 | 8 | | 29 | 29% |
| REPEAT×56 | 8 | | 38 | 32% |
| REPEAT×14 | 8 | | 31 | 31% |
| REPEAT×31 | 8 | | 48 | 40% |
| REPEAT×60 | 6 | | 30 | 30% |
| REPEAT×59 | 6 | | 32 | 31% |
| REPEAT×57 | 6 | | 38 | 33% |
| REPEAT×51 | 6 | | 28 | 28% |
| REPEAT×41 | 6 | | 44 | 38% |
| REPEAT×124 | 6 | | 30 | 29% |
| REPEAT×35 | 6 | | 46 | 37% |
| REPEAT×32 | 6 | | 43 | 39% |
| REPEAT×107 | 6 | | 43 | 31% |
| REPEAT×106 | 6 | | 41 | 34% |
| REPEAT×17 | 5 | | 31 | 32% |
| REPEAT×39 | 5 | | 43 | 37% |
| REPEAT×50 | 5 | | 28 | 27% |
| REPEAT×49 | 5 | | 27 | 27% |
| REPEAT×36 | 5 | | 50 | 39% |
| REPEAT×8 | 5 | | 26 | 29% |
| REPEAT×26 | 4 | | 32 | 31% |
| REPEAT×24 | 4 | | 34 | 31% |
| REPEAT×22 | 4 | | 36 | 30% |
| REPEAT×20 | 4 | | 36 | 31% |
| REPEAT×55 | 4 | | 36 | 30% |
| REPEAT×44 | 4 | | 36 | 34% |
| REPEAT×43 | 4 | | 41 | 36% |
| REPEAT×42 | 4 | | 41 | 37% |
| REPEAT×38 | 4 | | 43 | 36% |
| REPEAT×33 | 4 | | 40 | 35% |
| REPEAT×103 | 4 | | 45 | 35% |
| REPEAT×23 | 3 | | 33 | 32% |
| REPEAT×21 | 3 | | 36 | 31% |
| REPEAT×131 | 3 | | 28 | 29% |
| NET-IN | 3 | | 33 | 34% |
| REPEAT×15 | 3 | | 32 | 32% |
| REPEAT×40 | 3 | | 43 | 37% |
| REPEAT×120 | 3 | | 31 | 29% |
| REPEAT×34 | 3 | | 48 | 37% |
| REPEAT×112 | 3 | | 37 | 33% |
| RANGE | 3 | | 40 | 35% |
| REPEAT×104 | 3 | | 40 | 33% |
| REPEAT×135 | 2 | | 28 | 29% |
| REPEAT×134 | 2 | | 28 | 29% |
| REPEAT×133 | 2 | | 28 | 29% |
| REPEAT×132 | 2 | | 28 | 26% |
| REPEAT×130 | 2 | | 28 | 29% |
| REPEAT×18 | 2 | | 34 | 32% |
| REPEAT×129 | 2 | | 30 | 29% |
| REPEAT×128 | 2 | | 28 | 29% |
| REPEAT×52 | 2 | | 27 | 28% |
| REPEAT×126 | 2 | | 28 | 29% |
| REPEAT×125 | 2 | | 32 | 26% |
| REPEAT×123 | 2 | | 28 | 29% |
| REPEAT×121 | 2 | | 28 | 29% |
| REPEAT×118 | 2 | | 28 | 29% |
| REPEAT×47 | 2 | | 27 | 28% |
| REPEAT×117 | 2 | | 30 | 27% |
| REPEAT×46 | 2 | | 27 | 28% |
| REPEAT×116 | 2 | | 31 | 28% |
| REPEAT×30 | 2 | | 32 | 31% |
| REPEAT×115 | 2 | | 32 | 31% |
| REPEAT×114 | 2 | | 41 | 29% |
| REPEAT×29 | 2 | | 36 | 32% |
| REPEAT×111 | 2 | | 37 | 33% |
| REPEAT×109 | 2 | | 37 | 26% |
| REPEAT×108 | 2 | | 37 | 33% |
| REPEAT×105 | 2 | | 42 | 33% |
| REPEAT×102 | 2 | | 37 | 33% |
| REPEAT×136 | 1 | | 28 | 29% |
| REPEAT×127 | 1 | | 28 | 29% |
| HOLDER-SURGE | 1 | | 38 | 31% |
| REPEAT×122 | 1 | | 28 | 23% |
| REPEAT×48 | 1 | | 27 | 28% |
| REPEAT×119 | 1 | | 34 | 28% |
| REPEAT×113 | 1 | | 37 | 33% |
| REPEAT×28 | 1 | | 36 | 32% |
| REPEAT×110 | 1 | | 37 | 33% |
| REPEAT×101 | 1 | | 37 | 33% |
Recent accumulation signals
| Token | Chain | Score | Conv | Cov | MC | Signatures | Rec TP/SL | Age |
|---|
| SPCX | ETH | 39 | 28% | 100% | $44K | REPEAT×9STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVE | — | 0h |
| SPACEMOON | BSC | 38 | 34% | 72% | $55K | REPEAT×27STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | — | 0h |
| CZBULL | BSC | 38 | 34% | 72% | $22K | REPEAT×25STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | — | 0h |
| 人生K线 | BSC | 37 | 33% | 72% | $1.01M | REPEAT×101STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMCLUSTERED-SUPPLYSTEALTH-WAVE | — | 0h |
| SPCX | SOL | 37 | 33% | 72% | $128K | REPEAT×7STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVE | — | 0h |
| memestock | BSC | 25 | 29% | 62% | $386K | REPEAT×3HLREACCUM | — | 0h |
| 修仙 | BSC | 70 | 50% | 100% | $817K | REPEAT×31STEALTHABSORBHLFLOW-DIVGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMBUNDLED-RISKVOL-ANOMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | — | 1h |
| SUMMER | BSC | 59 | 42% | 100% | $7K | REPEAT×11STEALTHABSORBHLSQUEEZEGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMBUNDLED-RISKSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | — | 1h |
| PP | BSC | 46 | 33% | 100% | $354K | REPEAT×45STEALTHHLFLOW-DIVGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMCLUSTERED-SUPPLYSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | — | 1h |
| WORLDCUP | SOL | 39 | 34% | 72% | $55K | REPEAT×12STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVE | — | 1h |
| STARMAN | ETH | 38 | 34% | 72% | $125K | REPEAT×53STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | — | 1h |
| 布布 | BSC | 38 | 34% | 72% | $5K | REPEAT×11STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | — | 1h |
| 背手负鼠 | BSC | 38 | 34% | 72% | $29K | REPEAT×11STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | — | 1h |
| 星辰大海 | BSC | 38 | 34% | 72% | $11K | REPEAT×12STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | — | 1h |
| 安小将 | BSC | 36 | 32% | 72% | $121K | REPEAT×19STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMCLUSTERED-SUPPLYSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | — | 1h |
| SYND | BASE | 31 | 27% | 72% | $831K | REPEAT×45STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMCLUSTERED-SUPPLYSUPPLY-CONTROLSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | — | 1h |
| FLORK | BSC | 31 | 27% | 72% | $95K | REPEAT×54STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMCLUSTERED-SUPPLYSUPPLY-CONTROLSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | — | 1h |
| utility | BSC | 17 | 21% | 66% | ? | REPEAT×3HL | — | 1h |
| 修仙 | BSC | 50 | 44% | 72% | $814K | REPEAT×31STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMBUNDLED-RISKSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 1h |
| SUMMER | BSC | 50 | 44% | 72% | $7K | REPEAT×11STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMBUNDLED-RISKSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 1h |
| SPCX | ETH | 39 | 34% | 72% | $44K | REPEAT×9STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVE | +20%/-15% | 1h |
| SPACEMOON | BSC | 38 | 34% | 72% | $55K | REPEAT×27STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 1h |
| CZBULL | BSC | 38 | 34% | 72% | $21K | REPEAT×25STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 1h |
| 人生K线 | BSC | 37 | 33% | 72% | $1.02M | REPEAT×102STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMCLUSTERED-SUPPLYSTEALTH-WAVE | +20%/-15% | 1h |
| SPCX | SOL | 37 | 33% | 72% | $128K | REPEAT×7STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVE | +20%/-15% | 1h |
| PP | BSC | 36 | 32% | 72% | $354K | REPEAT×45STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMCLUSTERED-SUPPLYSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 1h |
| memestock | BSC | 25 | 29% | 62% | $386K | REPEAT×3HLREACCUM | +20%/-15% | 1h |
| WORLDCUP | SOL | 39 | 34% | 72% | $55K | REPEAT×12STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVE | +20%/-15% | 2h |
| STARMAN | ETH | 38 | 34% | 72% | $130K | REPEAT×53STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 2h |
| 布布 | BSC | 38 | 34% | 72% | $5K | REPEAT×11STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 2h |
| 背手负鼠 | BSC | 38 | 34% | 72% | $29K | REPEAT×11STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 2h |
| 星辰大海 | BSC | 38 | 34% | 72% | $11K | REPEAT×12STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 2h |
| 安小将 | BSC | 36 | 32% | 72% | $121K | REPEAT×19STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMCLUSTERED-SUPPLYSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 2h |
| FLORK | BSC | 31 | 27% | 72% | $95K | REPEAT×54STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMCLUSTERED-SUPPLYSUPPLY-CONTROLSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 2h |
| utility | BSC | 25 | 36% | 52% | ? | REPEAT×3WM-BUYHL | +20%/-15% | 2h |
| 修仙 | BSC | 50 | 44% | 72% | $816K | REPEAT×31STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMBUNDLED-RISKSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 2h |
| SUMMER | BSC | 50 | 44% | 72% | $7K | REPEAT×11STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMBUNDLED-RISKSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 2h |
| SPCX | ETH | 39 | 34% | 72% | $44K | REPEAT×9STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVE | +20%/-15% | 2h |
| SPACEMOON | BSC | 38 | 34% | 72% | $55K | REPEAT×27STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 2h |
| CZBULL | BSC | 38 | 34% | 72% | $21K | REPEAT×25STEALTHGMGN-CLUSTERFRESH-SWARMSTEALTH-WAVEASSOC-SUPPLY | +20%/-15% | 2h |
↳ accumulation_dashboard.py — signals from accum_engine (signatures = the indicators), performance from paper_scorecard (ACCUMULATION family). Backtest-gate any threshold change. Exits use the live SWING champion, promoted 260727.