RUNNER ALPHA

The $25K floor

WHY THEIR LEADERBOARD IS RANKED WRONG — AND HOW TO READ IT RIGHT

@BurpBoard ranks its board on Δ = current_mc / max(entry_mc, $25,000) — measured, 330/330 rows. Above $25K that is just current/entry. Below it, the multiple is computed against a market cap the token never traded at, so every small launch is ranked using a reference up to 50× its real one. Over 70 days the median understatement is 8.1x for 1–5K launches and 3.5x for 5–10K. Right now 8 of 10 tokens on the live board sit under that floor. Re-ranking on the true multiple reorders their board — using nothing but the fields they already publish.

True	Board	Move	Symbol	Board ×	True ×	Gap	Launch	Now	ATH held	State	Caller	Chain / identity
1	1	—	INCOGNITO	98x	960x	9.8× understated	2.5K	2.4M	96%	LIVE	—	solENTITY
2	2	—	DOPE	53x	144x	2.7× understated	9.0K	1.3M	54%	LIVE	—	solUNIQUE
3	3	—	SI	48x	76x	1.6× understated	15.9K	1.2M	86%	LIVE	—	solENTITY
4	10	▲6	大闸蟹	20x	59x	3.0× understated	8.5K	504.0K	79%	LIVE	—	bscUNIQUE
5	9	▲4	FARM	21x	56x	2.7× understated	9.5K	532.0K	44%	COLD	—	solUNIQUE
6	8	▲2	SOLAMIANS	22x	54x	2.5× understated	10.2K	554.0K	94%	LIVE	C0PE	solENTITY
7	6	▼1	NORMIE	25x	43x	1.7× understated	14.2K	615.0K	47%	COLD	—	solENTITY
8	4	▼4	LUCIA	34x	39x	as ranked	21.9K	858.0K	92%	LIVE	—	robinhoodUNIQUE
9	5	▼4	DNA	27x	26x	as ranked	38.9K	1.0M	59%	LIVE	—	ethUNIQUE
10	7	▼3	INFER	24x	24x	as ranked	185.0K	4.5M	64%	LIVE	—	ethUNIQUE

Board of 2026-10-12T05:00 UTC · 0 row(s) excluded as parse damage. "True ×" is current market cap ÷ the launch cap the board itself printed. Chain links go to GMGN. ENTITY = read from the board message's own link (exact); UNIQUE/DOMINAN = DexScreener matched on the board's market cap; SYMBOL = symbol uniqueness only, weakest. Unresolved rows are shown as such rather than guessed.

Launch cap → outcome

ENTRY MARKET-CAP BAND × OUTCOME · 70 DAYS, n=3,428 gold→orange = larger · dimmed + dashed = under-sampled (n<30), shown but not trusted

The board's own BOARD × column is nearly flat across every band — its floor erases the relationship. On the TRUE × column the curve is monotonic and steep: 439x median for a 1–5K launch against 28x for 100K+. The trade-off sits in ATH held: the smallest launches print the biggest multiples and give the most of them back — 1–5K holds 79% of peak against 83% for 10–25K. Bands below $25K are the board's stated launch caps and cannot be cross-checked against its own Δ (below the floor the check is blind) — they are shown, not certified.

Rotation speed

SHARE OF THE BOARD REPLACED PER WINDOW

The 24H leaderboard turns over completely inside 24 hours — a board slot has a half-life of roughly four hours. This is the measurement that retires the once-daily harvest: a daily read sees a fully disjoint set each day and never observes the motion in between.

New on the board

ENTERED WITHIN EACH WINDOW · TRUE MULTIPLE

1h 2 new · 2 gone · gap 1.01h

SOLAMIANS 54xFARM 56x

2h 3 new · 3 gone · gap 2.0h

SI 76xSOLAMIANS 54xFARM 56x

4h 3 new · 3 gone · gap 4.0h

INCOGNITO 960xSI 76xSOLAMIANS 54x

12h 6 new · 6 gone · gap 12.01h

INCOGNITO 960xSI 76xLUCIA 39xSOLAMIANS 54xFARM 56x大闸蟹 59x

24h 10 new · 9 gone · gap 24.0h

INCOGNITO 960xDOPE 144xSI 76xLUCIA 39xDNA 26xNORMIE 43xINFER 24xSOLAMIANS 54xFARM 56x大闸蟹 59x

A symbol appears here the first board after it breaks into the top 10 — the earliest confirmation this source can give, and previously discarded between daily runs.

When runners are born

HOUR OF DAY (UTC) A RUNNER FIRST APPEARED · n=906 OVER 952.0H

Thin until the ladder has run for several days — shown now so the shape is visible as it fills. One hour of coverage is one column; nothing is inferred for hours never sampled.

Who called them early

OUR OWN CHANNELS × BURPBOARD-CONFIRMED RUNNERS · 295 MATCHED CALLS names link to Telegram · winners link to GMGN

Caller	Channels	Early / ideas	Early rate	Median lead	Best	Top 3 runners called early (lead)
akioblocks	@chadsroom	20/642	3.1%	2.0h	355x	JINQIAN 355x +1h CAMELTOE 350x +5h KARDASHEV 342x +1h
plmkn1	@evmszn @pinnaclecabal @tncportal	13/233	5.6%	0.7h	355x	JINQIAN 355x +1h O1BOT 167x +2h PARASITE 154x +-0h
eonbase	@greengardengg	12/168	7.1%	0.7h	566x	AGE 566x +0h JINQIAN 355x +1h ROUTE 316x +-1h
skullionn	@greengardengg @pinnaclecabal @tncportal	9/166	5.4%	1.6h	355x	JINQIAN 355x +1h O1BOT 167x +2h 奶蛙 167x +1h
austrian_painter	@chadsroom @evmszn @greengardengg	9/294	3.1%	1.2h	242x	NOESIS 242x +-301h TIKTOK 191x +1h 奶蛙 167x +-5h
casey_cmx	@chadsroom @tncportal	9/260	3.5%	0.8h	1,231x	WILDEBEEST 1,231x +-90h AGE 566x +-0h JINQIAN 355x +1h
qwertylkjg	@chadsroom @pinnaclecabal @tncportal	6/228	2.6%	0.6h	1,231x	WILDEBEEST 1,231x +-0h CAMELTOE 350x +10h CONCERN 209x +0h
snake_bt	@chadsroom @greengardengg @pinnaclecabal	5/205	2.4%	0.9h	152x	BPAY 152x +1h 🔺 96x +0h CLAUS 84x +1h
peterkiero	@greengardengg	4/35	11.4%	0.4h	184x	CHINAPAD 184x +0h 奶蛙 167x +0h 屁币 124x +2h
iamklauus	@chadsroom @pinnaclecabal @tncportal	4/93	4.3%	0.3h	355x	JINQIAN 355x +0h CAMELTOE 350x +11h ANIMAL 80x +0h
gigachadape	@evmszn @greengardengg @pinnaclecabal	3/207	1.4%	12.7h	320x	TOPBLAST 320x +0h MARLIN 96x +-2h RECEIPT 62x +13h
kryptokattt	@pinnaclecabal	3/90	3.3%	3.4h	84x	CLAUS 84x +1h BASEPAD 56x +3h IMDT 52x +5h
inedibleliveson	@tncportal	3/39	7.7%	1.1h	250x	STOCKER 250x +-595h CROOK 96x +1h POORGOAT 63x +11h
mr_kentico	@tncportal	3/63	4.8%	1.0h	96x	CROOK 96x +4h KMS 85x +-0h OTIS 32x +1h
chopahtoshi	@chadsroom @greengardengg	3/114	2.6%	1.0h	318x	PIXELCAT 318x +1h TWEETCRAFT 39x +0h HARAM 32x +2h
ultrahodlerr	@tncportal	3/130	2.3%	0.7h	94x	CME 94x +1h AGRIPPA 38x +-38h ORE 37x +22h
mangomig	@tncportal	2/24	8.3%	7.2h	42x	万事兴龙 42x +0h PACT 36x +14h
stik_0x	@tncportal	2/57	3.5%	4.3h	78x	VRAX 78x +-1h POOF 67x +-196h FABLE 20x +7h
engineercalls	@engineercalls	2/75	2.7%	3.0h	1,600x	XBOW 1,600x +5h PHUBBER 116x +-10h CNFTS 83x +1h
uniquenoob007 thin	@greengardengg	2/5	40.0%	1.9h	135x	宋江 135x +1h 屁币 124x +3h
wafer32	@chadsroom @tncportal	2/77	2.6%	1.9h	167x	O1BOT 167x +-504h PROTOCOL 120x +3h MUSEBOOK 61x +-156h
venomtraderss	@pinnaclecabal @tncportal	2/12	16.7%	1.8h	152x	BPAY 152x +0h RSRV 65x +3h
brinkzilla	@chadsroom @greengardengg @pinnaclecabal	2/8	25.0%	1.0h	67x	POOF 67x +2h FN 30x +0h
gray_money8888	@pinnaclecabal	2/28	7.1%	0.5h	192x	PONDER 192x +-79h SUAN 27x +0h CHOP 21x +1h

This is the loop closing. @BurpBoard supplies the outcome label, our own channels supply the early signal, and joining them on the contract address scores the caller: who called a proven runner before the board did. 24 callers clear the bar (2+ early hits, not thin) and are written to runner_caller_boost.jsonl for the ranking and early-alert lanes to boost. Ranked on early hits, not on multiple — the multiple belongs to the token, being early to it is what belongs to the caller.

Only runners with a RESOLVED contract can be joined, so this measures coverage of the resolved subset, not of every board runner.
Hit rate uses distinct token ideas as the denominator. It is not a win rate: a miss here only means the token never reached the BurpBoard top-10 in our window.
Callers with fewer than 8 ideas are flagged thin and never boosted.
Lead time is measured against the board, not against the token's launch — a caller can be early to the board and still late to the move.

Caller links assume the sender handle is a Telegram username — best effort; channel links are exact.

Caller tags

ATTRIBUTION @BURPBOARD ITSELF PUBLISHES — SEPARATE FROM OUR OWN CALLERS ABOVE

Tag	n	Median true ×	Median board ×	ATH held	Median launch	Symbols
[K00KY]	14	24x	24x	96%	53.2K	AORB, CGEQ, CHINAPAD, DREC, EQPK
[DZCAL]	13	83x	25x	82%	8.2K	500, AGI, BAG, CROSSRATE, EQUITY
[BOOMS]	11	32x	31x	83%	28.3K	AGBT, BMBFI, BNCDAO, CHOP, CSI
[C0PE]	11	61x	23x	93%	8.5K	ALTAI, AMERICA, HUMAN, HYPERCAT, JIZZ
[INTRN]	7	94x	40x	75%	9.9K	BLAST, DOGEGPT, FLM, LIFT, PAIREX
[CURVE]	7	179x	39x	72%	8.2K	CAESAR, MCAT, MUCHWOW, NASDUCK, OFFICIAL
[LEOP]	6	91x	34x	85%	7.1K	BANDIT, HOLT, NINA, SUUB, 人生好物
[CAPY]	3	233x	69x	71%	5.2K	CAPYBARA, TIP, UNICORN
[BIRDS]	3	190x	55x	78%	58.6K	AGE, LOOP, STONKS
[CCP3]	3	114x	53x	67%	8.8K	BLOKKS, ELON, ZZZ
[ANES]	3	62x	25x	72%	8.0K	HYDX, INDEX, PI
[RNK1]	3	52x	17x	65%	8.4K	APELINK, FOMOPAY, NUTS
[EXLIQ]	2	398x	188x	69%	27.6K	LIGMA, NUDES
[GROND]	2	195x	88x	86%	10.3K	EXAMCN, FLYBRAIN
[BCHAD]	2	77x	70x	80%	32.4K	AROS, GME
[FISTX]	2	58x	58x	67%	131.8K	RBLE, STRATTON
[GUTSS]	2	57x	55x	92%	24.4K	BRODIE, GRIMACE
[BWWA]	2	52x	37x	59%	18.1K	TUZKI, XP
[TEDAO]	2	48x	36x	90%	19.0K	OMNI, WELF
[AAYUS]	2	65x	32x	94%	15.8K	FABLE, SUITED
[BOSGG]	2	100x	30x	84%	47.9K	SANTA, TOKEN
[BJ]	2	51x	18x	93%	11.3K	GNOME, SEC
[ODLAB]	1	4,495x	1,743x	100%	9.7K	MOG
[PAIDF]	1	326x	326x	100%	31.9K	FLYHARD
[LOTF]	1	563x	195x	75%	8.7K	NEST
[FT]	1	188x	189x	100%	75.4K	FATPANDA
[SILO]	1	478x	133x	45%	6.9K	MARIO
[RNS]	1	314x	126x	73%	10.2K	STAMP
[JAMSY]	1	64x	64x	38%	29.9K	FAMILY
[TEDDY]	1	160x	64x	84%	10.0K	SEND
[DRBP]	1	124x	51x	59%	10.5K	PANCHU
[WCGMI]	1	52x	48x	57%	23.0K	CRIME
[AI]	1	44x	44x	31%	52.9K	ANTHROPIG
[LOTUS]	1	135x	42x	62%	7.4K	PARE
[OBS]	1	38x	38x	100%	565.0K	邮差猫
[OMAR]	1	160x	38x	78%	5.9K	MEOW
[GMODE]	1	124x	38x	80%	7.7K	⠁⠏⠑
[PTM]	1	37x	36x	83%	40.8K	VACCINU
[FANK]	1	159x	35x	100%	5.5K	MUSEBOOK
[LAIR]	1	196x	35x	100%	4.5K	MAX
[LABY]	1	33x	34x	75%	55.1K	MONEROCHAN
[ALLYY]	1	183x	34x	20%	4.7K	FLAME
[REZA]	1	48x	32x	84%	16.9K	FOOMS
[ORINI]	1	39x	30x	88%	19.4K	COCKROACH
[LAB32]	1	194x	30x	79%	3.9K	OLLIE
[KDB]	1	221x	29x	79%	3.3K	9E9
[GKIWI]	1	62x	27x	28%	10.9K	PANCHU
[NOTRT]	1	27x	27x	95%	69.6K	CREDITSTR
[ROHAN]	1	68x	27x	100%	9.8K	BABYCIANS
[P00RS]	1	96x	27x	78%	7.1K	CROOK
[TCC]	1	25x	25x	87%	51.6K	CATALYST
[SATOS]	1	40x	24x	100%	15.3K	MIZZLE
[TUAN]	1	64x	22x	75%	8.6K	ETAC
[THAKI]	1	84x	22x	74%	6.6K	PRINTR
[MDGA]	1	22x	22x	78%	42.8K	AI
[HUNT4]	1	21x	21x	100%	62.5K	ARCOON
[69PG]	1	104x	21x	68%	5.0K	ELON
[HUNT3]	1	22x	20x	92%	22.5K	MUSEWORLD
[SUMIT]	1	51x	20x	31%	9.6K	SALVOR
[VVV]	1	34x	20x	70%	15.0K	DAWN
[CNCLV]	1	130x	20x	88%	3.9K	DOMAIN
[SNF]	1	49x	20x	85%	9.9K	UWU
[POTEM]	1	24x	19x	81%	19.8K	PEAR
[TIME]	1	16x	17x	100%	104.0K	CIPHO
[INNER]	1	18x	17x	86%	135.0K	DUCAT
[FAMAS]	1	21x	16x	53%	19.2K	GAS
[MNRS]	1	98x	16x	99%	4.0K	RUST
[SEVEN]	1	48x	15x	79%	7.7K	SUMMIT
[WINZ]	1	24x	15x	100%	15.4K	SI
[MGSHT]	1	24x	15x	71%	15.4K	CHUDDY
[GLDN]	1	15x	15x	90%	828.0K	CLAUS
[SSC]	1	50x	14x	93%	6.7K	PHAT
[UAV]	1	13x	13x	100%	123.0K	CATCRAFT
[BKRM]	1	43x	12x	77%	6.9K	TRENCHCAT

A flag, never a filter: n is one or two per tag at this depth. Listed so the counts accumulate against a real denominator rather than being re-derived later.

Regime

BOARD MEDIAN MULTIPLE OVER TIME · IS THE TAPE HOT OR COLD

7D BOARDS

Posted	Median	Avg	Top	×
2026-09-02T21:30	77x	136x	MICRODUCK	1,233x
2026-09-03T09:30	80x	119x	MICRODUCK	1,365x
2026-09-03T21:30	83x	163x	SHRUB	2,238x
2026-09-04T09:30	85x	174x	SHRUB	1,322x
2026-09-04T21:30	88x	150x	SHRUB	3,338x
2026-09-05T09:30	103x	144x	NOMEME	34,042x
2026-09-05T21:30	117x	185x	NOMEME	8,974x
2026-09-08T09:30	105x	175x	MEME	2,730x
2026-09-08T21:30	81x	131x	HEMI	19,560x
2026-09-09T09:31	72x	108x	HEMI	16,950x
2026-09-10T22:05	83x	116x	LAPTOP	25,164x
2026-09-13T09:36	86x	123x	LAPTOP	11,970x
2026-09-13T21:33	75x	112x	LAPTOP	10,812x
2026-09-14T10:31	69x	101x	LAPTOP	8,839x
2026-09-14T21:34	59x	103x	MOG	1,995x
2026-09-15T10:22	47x	80x	MOG	1,607x
2026-09-16T10:01	43x	78x	MOG	1,887x
2026-09-18T02:16	60x	108x	MOTO	1,509x
2026-09-18T09:30	59x	91x	MOTO	1,319x
2026-09-18T21:30	55x	99x	MOTO	1,449x
2026-09-19T09:30	59x	99x	MOTO	1,414x
2026-09-19T21:30	64x	102x	ENDAI	1,510x
2026-09-20T09:30	54x	97x	ENDAI	1,702x
2026-09-20T21:30	48x	77x	BURN	25,296x
2026-09-21T09:30	55x	95x	BURN	38,669x
2026-09-21T21:30	54x	85x	PAID	512x
2026-09-22T09:30	54x	84x	PAID	603x
2026-09-22T21:30	48x	76x	MUSEBOOK	305x
2026-09-23T09:30	45x	66x	AGRIPPA	297x
2026-09-23T21:30	47x	71x	GROK	254x
2026-09-24T09:30	48x	69x	AGRIPPA	256x
2026-09-24T21:30	49x	88x	GP	939x
2026-09-25T09:30	48x	85x	GP	824x
2026-09-25T21:30	40x	68x	SI	434x
2026-09-26T09:30	40x	86x	MASK	744x
2026-09-26T21:30	48x	91x	MASK	767x
2026-09-27T09:30	43x	84x	MASK	808x
2026-09-28T21:30	26x	62x	MASK	625x
2026-09-29T09:30	25x	65x	MASK	621x
2026-09-29T21:30	24x	61x	MASK	779x
2026-09-30T09:30	24x	52x	E/ACC	425x
2026-09-30T21:30	21x	49x	E/ACC	598x
2026-10-01T09:30	22x	59x	E/ACC	562x
2026-10-01T21:30	24x	71x	ZC	783x
2026-10-02T09:30	29x	67x	E/ACC	674x
2026-10-02T21:30	27x	57x	HOOKED	507x
2026-10-03T09:30	29x	62x	ZC	478x
2026-10-03T21:30	34x	76x	SHIB	38,665x
2026-10-04T09:30	41x	67x	SHIB	41,504x
2026-10-04T21:30	32x	59x	AGENCY	533x
2026-10-05T09:30	33x	60x	AGENCY	616x
2026-10-05T21:30	27x	48x	WDOGE	200,636x
2026-10-06T09:30	27x	57x	CLAUS	458x
2026-10-06T21:30	21x	57x	CLAUS	638x
2026-10-07T09:30	22x	66x	CLAUS	955x
2026-10-08T21:30	23x	43x	CLAUS	1,089x
2026-10-10T21:31	24x	71x	BINU	779x
2026-10-10T21:31	24x	71x	BINU	779x
2026-10-11T09:30	22x	65x	BINU	499x
2026-10-11T21:30	18x	52x	CLAUS	603x

DAILY HARVEST · LAST 14 DAYS (LEGACY)

Day	n	Median true ×	Max
2026-10-09	40	26x	1,089x
2026-10-01	50	33x	598x
2026-09-30	39	39x	779x
2026-09-29	37	33x	625x
2026-09-28	10	30x	77x
2026-09-27	44	64x	808x
2026-09-26	56	34x	866x
2026-09-25	18	38x	111x
2026-09-24	51	33x	275x
2026-09-23	45	38x	305x
2026-09-22	20	34x	185x
2026-09-21	68	54x	77,633x
2026-09-20	40	80x	1,702x
2026-09-19	45	81x	1,449x

What this is not

LIMITS CARRIED WITH THE NUMBERS

Identity is resolved, not assumed. RESOLVED_ENTITY comes from the board message's own link entities (exact). RESOLVED_UNIQUE/DOMINANT match DexScreener anchored on the board's market cap. RESOLVED_SYMBOL_ONLY rests on symbol uniqueness alone and is the weakest. AMBIGUOUS and UNRESOLVED rows carry no address at all.
Boards captured before 260904 predate entity capture and can only use the weaker DexScreener path; roughly half of them stay unresolved because dead or Robinhood-chain tokens are poorly indexed by that search.
Sub-daily windows are only as deep as burpboard_ladder.py has been running.
The board's Δ is floored at a $25K reference market cap (measured, 330/330 rows). board_x is what BurpBoard ranked on; true_x is current/entry. They are different questions and are never pooled here.
Descriptive shadow only — nothing here queues a wallet, gates a signal, or places a trade.
Source: @BurpBoard boards already captured by the userbot. No new API calls, no added cost.

Ladder 696 × 24H + 60 × 7D boards, 952.0h, last board 1.23h old · legacy 3,450 rows / 106.0d · generated 2026-10-12T06:14:02Z · runner_alpha v1.0.0